Finance

Runway Scenarios

Base / best / worst three-scenario cash model. See decision triggers before you hit them.

Finance · Runway Scenarios

24-month cash trajectory

Three paths from the same starting cash. Where they diverge is where your decisions live.

As of May 13, 2026
Base
clearBeyond M24
Best
clearBeyond M24
Worst
clearBeyond M24
Cash balance · best vs base vs worst
Peak $6,484,346 · Trough $0
6.5M4.9M3.2M1.6M0k0M0M6M12M18M24
Base · Steady-state pathBest · Boost caseWorst · Drawdown caseCash-out marker
24+mo
Base runway
$4,231,035
End-of-horizon cash
24+mo
Best runway
$6,484,346
End-of-horizon cash
24+mo
Worst runway
$2,000,534
End-of-horizon cash

Inputs

USD · monthly
Scenario swings

Assumptions ledger

Burn · revenue · headcount
ScenarioRevenueNet burnHeadcountSwing vs base
Base$150,000-$107,500/mo260%
Best$195,000-$62,500/mo26+30% rev
Worst$120,000-$155,000/mo26-20% rev / +10% cost
MBaseBestWorst
0$2,000,000$2,000,000$2,000,000
1$1,892,500$1,926,250$1,845,000
2$1,794,000$1,864,200$1,696,960
3$1,705,220$1,814,786$1,556,437
4$1,626,938$1,779,019$1,424,032
5$1,559,993$1,757,990$1,300,394
6$1,505,292$1,752,880$1,186,226
7$1,463,815$1,764,960$1,082,284
8$1,436,621$1,795,607$989,387
9$1,424,850$1,846,305$908,418
10$1,429,738$1,918,660$840,331
11$1,452,617$2,014,403$786,157
12$1,494,927$2,135,405$747,010
13$1,558,221$2,283,687$724,091
14$1,644,179$2,461,432$718,698
15$1,754,613$2,670,997$732,234
16$1,891,482$2,914,926$766,213
17$2,056,900$3,195,971$822,270
18$2,253,152$3,517,098$902,171
19$2,482,705$3,881,516$1,007,825
20$2,748,221$4,292,687$1,141,291
21$3,052,579$4,754,352$1,304,794
22$3,398,885$5,270,550$1,500,738
23$3,790,496$5,845,644$1,731,717
24$4,231,035$6,484,346$2,000,534

Cut-cost playbook

How to extend runway
  • Lift MoM growth to 20%Biggest leverage on base runway

    Double-down on the top-2 acquisition channels from cohort data. Retention fixes compound faster than headline growth.